Know the Weather
Although the majority of wagers are placed on the money-line, bettors can still find value betting on totals. Before placing a total bet, you should consider one big factor: the weather, especially the wind.
That the wind blows in can turn home runs into warning-track outs, which will benefit unders. Conversely, if the wild blows out, it can turn fly balls into homers, benefiting overs.
Know the Umpires
We wouldn’t recommend solely placing a bet based on an umpire, but it is important to know who is behind the plate to be able to exploit pronounced tendencies. Anyway, umpires are human. Some cave under pressure and are influenced by the crowd, which benefits home teams.
Others thrive on the hatred of the mob, which benefits traveling groups. Others have a strong strike, leading to more travel, scoring goals and gaining overs. Some have large striking areas, leading to more strikes and more strikes when playing so it benefits less.
Focus on Divisional Dogs
As teams in the same category play more frequently, it breeds familiarity and balances the playing field, definitely benefiting the dog. Divisional dogs perform even better if we layer in two filters: First, road teams, and second, a high total. Due to more runs expected to be scored, it leads to more variance, which aids the underdog. This system has caused an incredible +83.4 units since 2005.
Manage Your Bankroll
One of the most critical factors to long-term success is to manage your bankroll. It is recommended that if you start with a bankroll of $100, you should bet $3 per game. If you remain disciplined in your money management, it will prevent you from losing big and also set you up for a positive ROI over the long haul.